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R&D PROGRAM |
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Product Development |
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Terrorism Track-and-Alert Forecasts |
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Product |
- Probabilities of
Destructive Potential and of Terrorism Threat Levels
- 14-Day Terrorism Alert Predictions and
Confidence Levels
- 21-Day Track-and
Alert Visual Conditional
Forecasts
- The global economic uncertainty
- The terrorism alert index
(7/60-D)
- Security Matrix
Sample
- Awareness/Attention spectra (1-D
Mindshare/Mindrank distributions)
- Track forecasts for the terrorism
alert index
(7/60-D)
- Track forecasts for the destructive potential entailed in
economic uncertainty (HIGH, VERY HIGH, and EXTREME)
- Track forecasts for the likelihood of
terrorism (Codes YELLOW, ORANGE, and RED)
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Application |
- Predict the
likelihood of catastrophic terrorism
- Determine the severity of the most
recently measured mindshares: what is the time evolution of the
uncertainty and terrorism alert indices if the most recent mindshare
distributions persist for 3 consecutive weeks
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Availablity |
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Advanced Products R&D |
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Stock Market Forecasting |
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Research |
- Correlations between MI2 indices and
stock market indices
- MI2 model for "predicting" future
stock market indices
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Product Development |
- Contingent upon successful research
outcome
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Availability |
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Terrorism Forecasting |
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Research |
- Correlations between MI2 terrorism
alert indices and reported violence
- MI2 model for "predicting" propitious
opportunities for terrorists to strike
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Product Development |
- Contingent upon successful research
outcome.
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Availability |
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Experimental and Exploratory
Research |
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Forecasting the Global State of Mind |
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Research |
- MI2 model and master equation for
determining the time evolution of the global state of mind
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Potential Applications |
- "Predicting" future stock market
indices
- "Predicting" future propitious
opportunities for terrorists to strike
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Findings and Conclusions |
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MACROGENOME
PROJECT™
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The Macrogenome
Project is Macroknow's intellectual analogue of the Genome Project. It is to
the thinking mind what the Genome Project is to living
matter. The project's domains include philosophy, political economy,
law, science, and theology (Mosaic-Solomonic, Hindu-Vedic,
Taoistic, Buddhist, Confucian,
Christian, Gnostic, and Islamic).
The
inspiration for the Macrogenome Project is Leibniz's
deep
insight into the nature of the soul as genetic seed
and law.
PROJECT
GOALS
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To
map the entire intellectual genetic structure
of the dominant philosophies and worldviews
that shape our world.
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To
identify, scrutinize, and compare the ideas, concepts,
notions, and thought species and subspecies that make
up the dominant philosophies that underlie current
policies and legislation. To identify common
substructures.
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To
discover, characterize, and categorize the codes, structures,
lineages, and variants of the thought species; and to
correlate these with origins, intents, and effects.
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To
locate, characterize, and catalogue defects in logic and
intellection; and to correlate, cross-link, and cross-reference the
defects with associated political disorder, social diseases, and
economic conflicts and destruction.
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To
build taxonomic, structure, and modeling databases for grounding
philosophies. And to develop analytical tools and
expert systems to model, simulate, and predict the
outcomes of policies from their genomic structure and
associated probabilistic confidences.
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To
issue timely political, economic, and financial alerts
and advisories to political, business, and community
leaders.
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To promote
the worldviews that benefit humankind, especially philosophies that promote and secure authentic freedom and
wealth for all.
The
Macrogenome Project is an ongoing Macroknow project. The project will
generate several open Internet resources.
General findings and conclusions will be available to people with
access to the Internet free of charge. For a sample Macroknow Education Resource, see
the
Macroknow Library. Sophisticated
intellection
technologies, databases, expert systems, and intelligence systems are
commercialized. For Macroknow Services, see http://www.macroknow.com/services.htm.
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METHODOLOGY |
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CRITICAL
ISSUES
The Macroknow Intellectual Intelligence™ methodology addresses three critical
issues:
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How to define and represent the State of the World
-- People's Global State of Mind and World Events,
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How to measure the State of the World (what
people value and desire), and
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How to deliver the intelligence about the State of the World
to intelligence consumers in corporations and in governments.
THE WORLD AS MARKETPLACE FOR IDEAS
In stock markets, indices are used to measure the State of the
Market. The indices measure market activity and stock price, by
company and by industry.
Macroknow Intelligence, like stock markets, uses indices to measure
the State of the World. The indices measure people's concerns by
theme or topic (and
by
intellectual giant and field of study).
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State
of the Market |
State
of the
World |
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Venue |
Stock
market |
The World |
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Object |
Stock |
Idea |
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Classification
System |
Business
Sector - Company |
Topic - Intellectual Giant |
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Industry
- Company |
Field
of Study - Giant |
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Activity
Indexed by |
Company |
Intellectual Giant |
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Business
Sector |
Topic |
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Industry |
Field of Study |
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METHODOLOGICAL STEPS
The methodological steps used in Macroknow Intelligence are as follows:
- Research, identify, and distill the essences of the major
Ideas in economics,
literature/criticism, military theory, philosophy, science, and
theology. The
essences (the seeds and the genetic structure) of the major
philosophies are collected in the form of essential quotes and text fragments. The Macroknow
universe of intellectual giants spans the gamut from Aquinas and Aristotle to John von Neumann and Howard Zinn. It includes
widely known intellectuals (philosophers, economists, social
critics, prophets, sages, psychoanalysts, historians, and scientists) representing a broad range of
political, economic, and philosophical viewpoints.
- Develop a global classification structure
for the Ideas and their underlying philosophical
essences. The identified topics in the classification structure
correspond to the variables of the State of the World:
- Autonomy: Freedom and Slavery
- Ethics: Good and Evil
- Logic: Truth and Deceit
- Justice: Law and Justice
- Economics/Finance: Bankers, Debt, Capitalism, Free Trade,
Money
- Scie&Tech: Arithmetic (Calculative Thinking), Science, and
Technology
- Theology: Religion
- Build web-enabled knowledge bases that capture the
philosophical essences by author and by topic. The knowledge bases contain the essences distilled in Step
1, and are organized using the Macroknow global classification structure
developed in Step 2.
- Develop sensitive intellection sensors that measure and track
the variables of the State of the World over the Internet.
Collect, process, and store the intelligence data in the web-enabled
databases.
- Monitor major world events (social, political, and
economic) and correlate them with the variables of
the State of the World. The index
for each topic is updated daily and the index for each giant is
updated monthly. The temporal distributions
of the derived indices are correlated with major world events. Three categories of psychometric
indices are derived:
- Global Topics Indices. These measure people's
concerns by topic. Together they define the State of the
World.
- Global Giants Indices. These measure
people's interests in the giants' Ideas. From the highest
ranked giants, you can determine the major Ideas that are moving the
world.
- Global Uncertainty, Economic Vulnerability, and Terrorism Alert Indices. These are experimental
and exploratory
measures derived from the Global Topics Indices. The
Economic Vulnerability Indices can be used as leading
indicators of opportunities for catastrophic terrorism -- as
such, they are Terrorism Alert Indices.
- Deliver the indexes for the State of the
World directly to the desktop of the
information or intelligence consumer. Macroknow
delivers intelligence about the State of the
World in several forms:
- Electronic publications. These
offer vital
intellectual intelligence indexes and
news that supplement market
indexes and news:
- People's
awareness and attention levels
- People's feelings, emotions, and
irrational exuberance or gloom
- People's
thought streams
- The objects
of people's thoughts
-- correlated
with business, financial, economic and
world news, and
- Security threat
assessments.
- Visualization charts. These give you an integrated picture
of the State of the World and its landscape.
- Databases. These give you the historical indices, their
components, and associated correlations, in
combination with information and news about world events..
- Analytical dashboards. These can
be used to generate a rich variety of analytical,
statistical, and intelligence data for
publication.
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BETA TESTING
OBJECTIVES
The MI2 System and the
Much
Mind/Mind Chronicle/Histories Electronic Publications offer
vital
intellectual intelligence, indexes, and
news. The system must be robust,
reliable, expandable, and easy and inexpensive to maintain.
The publications must be highly useful, of top quality, and,
except for editing,
automated.
BETA
1
BETA 1 testing was completed in 2005. The testing focused on the MI2 System, its
Operation, and Maintenance. Technical issues included:
-
Integrity,
- Robustness,
- Reliability,
- Maintainability,
- Flexibility,
- Automation, and
- Scalability.
BETA
2
BETA 2 testing will be completed in 2007. The testing focuses on
Much Mind,
Mind
Chronicle,
Histories, and the information and
intelligence needs of the Subscriber.
Business issues include:
- High
information utility,
- Intelligence
quality,
- Efficiency of
global editions, and
- Effectiveness of online
delivery.
BETA
3
BETA 3, the final testing phase, will start in 2008. The
testing will focus on branded Global Macroknow Media
Services.
- Macroknow Indexes: Global
Psychological, Market, Economic, Political, and Security
Indexes,
- Macroknow
News and Information Services: Global Awareness and
Attention Services to Financial, Business, Government, and
Military professionals worldwide,
-
Macroknow Alert Services, including Psychological Alert,
Stock Market Alert, Economic Alert, and
Security/Terrorism Alert Services, and
- Macroknow Licensing Services.
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